Why the Clintons’ Embrace of the Davos Class Failed

Journalist Naomi Klein interprets the American election.  The result reflects citzens’ rejection of neoliberalism. That worldview – fully embodied by Hillary Clinton and her machine – is no match for Trump-style extremism. The decision to run one against the other is what sealed our fate.

Here is what we need to understand: a hell of a lot of people are in pain. Under neoliberal policies of deregulation, privatization, austerity and corporate trade, their living standards have declined precipitously. They have lost jobs. They have lost pensions. They have lost much of the safety net that used to make these losses less frightening. They see a future for their kids even worse than their precarious present.

At the same time, they have witnessed the rise of the Davos class, a hyper-connected network of banking and tech billionaires, elected leaders who are awfully cosy with those interests, and Hollywood celebrities who make the whole thing seem unbearably glamorous. Success is a party to which they were not invited, and they know in their hearts that this rising wealth and power is somehow directly connected to their growing debts and powerlessness.

For the people who saw security and status as their birthright – and that means white men most of all – these losses are unbearable.

Donald Trump speaks directly to that pain. The Brexit campaign spoke to that pain. So do all of the rising far-right parties in Europe. They answer it with nostalgic nationalism and anger at remote economic bureaucracies – whether Washington, the North American free trade agreement the World Trade Organization or the EU. And of course, they answer it by bashing immigrants and people of color, vilifying Muslims, and degrading women. Elite neoliberalism has nothing to offer that pain, because neoliberalism unleashed the Davos class. People like Hillary and Bill Clinton are the toast of the Davos party. In truth, they threw the party.

Trump’s message was: “All is hell.” Clinton answered: “All is well.” But it’s not well – far from it.

A good chunk of Trump’s support could be peeled away if there were a genuine redistributive agenda on the table. An agenda to take on the billionaire class with more than rhetoric, and use the money for a green new deal. Such a plan could create a tidal wave of well-paying unionized jobs, bring badly needed resources and opportunities to communities of color, and insist that polluters should pay for workers to be retrained and fully included in this future.

It could fashion policies that fight institutionalized racism, economic inequality and climate change at the same time. It could take on bad trade deals and police violence, and honor indigenous people as the original protectors of the land, water and air.

Such a coalition is possible. Canada leads the way. This is the task ahead. The Democratic party needs to be either decisively wrested from pro-corporate neoliberals, or it needs to be abandoned. From Elizabeth Warren to Nina Turner, to the Occupy alumni who took the Bernie campaign supernova, there is a strong field of coalition-inspiring progressive leaders out there.

Let’s set aside whatever is keeping us apart and start right now.

donald-trump

India Scraps 500 and 1,000 Rupee Bank Notes

The surprise announcement by Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi that all 500- and 1,000-rupee notes will be scrapped has been met with shock.

Indian media described the move variously as a “surgical strike” on tax evaders in the country’s overwhelmingly cash economy and a “big bang note”.

On Tuesday there were serpentine queues at ATMs as people tried to withdraw 100 rupee notes, which are still legal.

Banks and ATM machines were shut on Wednesday.
The surprise move, announced on Tuesday evening, is part of a crackdown on corruption and illegal cash holdings. New 500 and 2,000 rupee denomination notes will be issued to replace those removed from circulation……
bbc.com
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Politics and Money

Clinton’s Economic Team

It seems likely in the US that Hillary Clinton will be elected President  next month.  Here is what here economic team may look like:  Larry Summers or Paul Krugman have been hovering around Mrs.Clinton during the long campaign.  They will both probably get positions in the administration.  Here are some other prospects who might be choices as head of Treasury and Labor, or as deputies in these executive agencies or advisors to the President..

Stephanie Kelton is an economics professor at the University of Missouri-Kansas City. She has served as the chief economist for the Democrats on the Senate Budget Committee, and as an advisor to Bernie Sanders.

Kelton is probably best known for her work on Modern Monetary Theory (MMT). It emphasizes that debt issued by the federal government doesn’t operate like any other form of debt.  This is because the government can’t create all the money it wants,  but can only create too-high inflation. And finally, that the amount of money the government puts into the economy via spending, versus the amount it takes out via taxes, is a key part of the overall ecology that determines the supply of jobs. And few people have done as much to game out the economic and policy consequences of those simple points as Kelton.

Joseph Stiglitz is an economics professor at Columbia University, a former CEA chair, and a Nobel Prize winner. He’s one of the most important economists in the world, and probably the one most unafraid to sit squarely and unabashedly to the left of mainstream economic orthodoxy.

Stiglitz takes aim at the forces creating inequality, and how they warp society and damage human lives. He understands that economics is created by politics: Inequality and stagnant wages are not the product of mere “natural” market forces, but of the way power is distributed throughout society and then used to shape the rules that govern economic outcomes.

Heather McGhee started at Demos, a left-leaning policy shop, way back in 2002; now she runs it. She was deputy director of domestic and economic policy for John Edwards’ 2008 presidential run, and helped engineer that campaign’s breakthrough effort to put the class divide at the center of U.S. politics. She works hard to marry racial and economic justice into one coherent goal, backed by serious policy substance.

Pavlina Tcherneva is the economics chair at Bard College, and a research scholar at the Levy Economics Institute. She’s cut from much the same cloth as Kelton, but Tcherneva has devoted particular energy to the idea o a job guarantee.

Hillary Cinton

Why Chinese Women Still Can’t Get a Break

On a Saturday afternoon in late September, I sat in the brand-new auditorium of my former high school in Beijing, watching the gala for my 10-year reunion. Near the end, teachers stepped onto the stage to deliver speeches.

“Girls, I hope you will focus on finding your life partners,” said the Chinese-language teacher, with the same stern air as when she urged us to succeed on the college entrance exam. “Marriage cannot be delayed,” the biology teacher said. The physical education teacher offered to set up single alumnae with eligible bachelors at her husband’s company.

At the dinner afterward, the conversation at my table turned to career changes. A friend surprised everyone by announcing that she would move to Shenzhen, a southern city, to look for a new job. Marveling at her courage but concerned about her decision, another classmate asked if she was aware of the “complications” faced by a childless woman seeking employment in her late 20s.

My female classmates and I, beneficiaries of China’s economic boom, are cruising along exciting professional paths…..Why chinese women still cant get a break /nytimes

Lisk Feng

Lisk Feng

Is it a wonder, then, that a growing number of professional women in China, buttressed by their education credentials and financial independence, are deciding to delay or forgo marriage and family? A 2010 study shows that half of the women with a university degree or above are unmarried or divorced. Derided as “leftover women” in the news media and by the government, they are subjects of well-intentioned exhortations, like those from my high school teachers, as well as less-than-generous assumptions from society at large.

Understanding the Structure of Organized Crime

Dr. iur. Verena Zoppei has provided a fascinating article on the unconventionality of the structures of organized crime today. Criminals want to ‘clean’ their money.  Professionals, particularly in banking and related industries, help criminals and are part of the new networks.  This article details how this comes about.
Understanding the Structure of Organized Crime

Serious and Organised Crime infiltration
Transcrime.it/MORE/

Unveiling the Structure of Unconventional Organized Crime

Unveiling the Structure of Unconventional Organized Crime  /  Super-Tree Singapore

 

Where’s the Focus on Problems in US Banking?

The presidential campaign in the US has encouraged the Democratic nominee, Mrs. Hillary Clinton, to superficially take on problems in the banking sector.   She is now talking about taking on Wells Fargo.

As we have previously reported, Wells Fargo encouraged employees to set up unauthorized bank accounts that their customers had not requested. Many underlings at the bank were dismissed over this action, which it is highly unlikely they undertook on their own.

Congress ordered its CEO to testify and we had a quasi-Japanese moment when he took the bullet.  He may have lost 60 million dollars, but millions of dollars  remain lining his pockets.

Since these kinds of actions, undertaken at a much higher level, and at the instigation of bank CEOs have gone on for decades and no other CEO, including Jamie Dimon of JP Morgan Chase, have gone unscathed, we wonder how seriously we can take the  curren flurry of sttention around banks and what any politician is willling to do to change the course of Big Banks in this country.

Jamie Dimont

How Political is the US Fed?

In the current election cycle, Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen has been accused of inflating “a big, fat, ugly bubble” by keeping interest rates too low. Yellen couldn’t just shrug off the accusation, because only five days earlier three members of her own rate-setting group, the Federal Open Market Committee, had expressed the same idea in more delicate language. Loretta Mester, Esther George, and Eric Rosengren dissented from the FOMC decision to stand pat on rates, the committee announced, because they “preferred” to raise the federal funds rate a quarter percentage point at the meeting.

It isn’t easy running a central bank, especially during an election campaign, and even more so during this campaign, when there’s a deep division within the economics profession over whether U.S. interest rates are too low. As the uneven record of central banking goes to show, setting interest rates is a bewildering business. But exposing that bewilderment to the public makes the Fed seem ineffective, which renders it more vulnerable to attack.

The difficulty for Yellen is that although the Fed’s motivations aren’t political, its actions are inherently political in the sense that they affect the economy and thus create winners and losers. Keeping interest rates low helps incumbents by stimulating growth—but at the risk, some say, of generating unacceptably high inflation that would have to be quelled with high rates later.

Raising rates now presents its own difficulties. It could disrupt financial markets, shaking confidence. The next meeting of the FOMC concludes on Nov. 2. As of Sept. 28, financial markets saw only a 17 percent chance that the Fed would raise rates on that date, vs. a 53 percent chance of raising rates on Dec. 14. Why the low expectations for November? One reason is that there’s no press conference scheduled then, and Yellen uses press conferences to explain rate moves. But another reason is that markets don’t seem to think the Fed will call attention to itself by hiking rates six days before the election. Of course, not hiking could itself be read as a political decision.

The point is that anything the Fed does or doesn’t do is viewed through a political filter, even though Yellen said after the Sept. 21 FOMC meeting that “we do not discuss politics at our meetings, and we do not take politics into account in our decisions.”

Yellen is putting the best face on Fed dissent. She told reporters she thinks “it’s a very good thing that the FOMC is not a body that suffers from group-think.”

The deeper problem for the Fed is that its underregulation before the financial crisis and its overoptimism about the recovery have dulled its aura of expertise, says Robert Johnson, president of the Institute for New Economic Thinking.

yellen-pulled

US Politicians Look Hard at World Trade

Is retreating from the global economy the newer for US?

America’s economic woes are no secret. Nations like China are growing more and more economically powerful, while America is spiraling out of control. Losing an average of $600 billion dollars per year in trade deficits adds up, and the new low-wage economy neither brings in the needed tax dollars to run the country, nor gives citizens enough money to pay the bills. The more imports we buy, the more other nations prosper, and the more America falls deeper and deeper into third world status.

America’s Founding Fathers knew that foreign commerce was the key to a sustainable economy, but not by importing everything we need to live from producers overseas. A quick look at what they set up for a successful nation – and what we have given away – will show how Congress can easily fix the nation’s economic woes.

Retake control of the American economy  The U.S. Constitution states that “Congress shall have Power. . . To regulate Commerce with foreign Nations,” yet America has given up this right,

Restore tariffs and reform taxes  Every nation in the world has protective measures to ensure they take full advantage of product entering their countries. Again the US Constitution states: “The Congress shall have Power To lay and collect Taxes, Duties, Imposts and Excises. . .”

By lowering income taxes and using a border-adjustable tax — the most successful tax in the world — American workers would not be punished for having jobs and foreign products entering the country could pay for the government through tariffs, as the Founding Fathers envisioned.

Stimulate the economy for job growth with the new influx of revenue  With 80% of stores like Walmart’s wares coming from China alone, the revenue earned through tariffs and a value-added tax would be enough to not only rebuild America’s crumbling infrastructure, but also rebuild manufacturing as well. The Constitution also grants Congress power to establish roads and “promote the Progress of Science.” This is money that could go towards the innovation America needs to bring back real jobs in manufacturing, R&D and more.

Are these answers? We do not know. Yet every politician in the US now has to address the issues they raise.

Globalization

Keeping Banks on the Straight and Narrow

James Rufus Koren writes:   Outraged senators castigated Wells Fargo & Co. Chief Executive John Stumpf this week for not seeking to take back some of the $100 million awarded to a retiring executive who oversaw the division at the heart of the company’s fake-accounts scandal.

But whenever Stumpf, 63, eventually departs from his post atop the San Francisco banking giant, he could walk away with far more — nearly $195 million in cash, stock and other compensation, a review of the bank’s regulatory filings show.

While it’s almost certain Stumpf will keep the vast majority of that sum given the bank’s compensation policy, both he and Carrie Tolstedt, the retiring executive who headed the bank’s retail operations, could lose tens of millions of dollars over the still-unfolding scandal.

The bank has agreed to pay $185 million to federal regulators and the Los Angeles city attorney’s office over the creation of as many as 2 million fake accounts, a practice regulators say was encouraged by a demanding and poorly supervised sales culture. But trouble for the bank has continued to grow since the settlement was announced.

Federal prosecutors are investigating the bank to see whether criminal charges should be filed, while senators have called for the Labor Department to investigate possible labor law violations. And there’s a growing chorus of investors, corporate governance experts and others calling for Wells Fargo to cut or cancel executives’ pay over the scandal.

At a Senate Banking Committee hearing last week, Sen. Bob Corker (R-Tenn.) said that the bank would be committing “malpractice from the standpoint of just public relations” if it does not dock executives’ pay. Analysts who follow the bank expect that means both Stumpf and Tolstedt will lose some compensation.

We wonder whether this relatively tame assessment can really inhibit bad bank behavior.  Despite Elizabeth Warrne’s wanrings to the Democratic Presidential nominee.  Should she win in November, it is unlikely that she will go after bankers who have supported hr campaign and also helped she and her husband accumulate $250 million of their own money.

John Stumpf