Chinese Men Looking Worldwide for Brides

Rather than dwelling on the fact that sex-selective abortions continue despite a government ban, Chinese media interpreted the sex ratio as a threat to men, not women. On Jan. 21, web giant Sina’s arm in Henan, China’s most populous province wondered aloud on social media platform Weibo whether the news was “heart-stopping” and exhorted bachelors to “start making an effort!”

Meanwhile, a Beijing statistician sharing the latest figures to his Weibo account wrote, “Tomorrow I am going to get my son to hurry up and find a girlfriend at his elementary school.” Beijing News even suggested that Ukrainian women could be a solution to China’s problem. The story kicked off with a question: “Just how hard is it for a diaosi,” slang for young bachelors of modest means, “to find a wife?”

After explaining the severe imbalance that the ratio represents, it added that Chinese brides are a popular “export” to many countries such as Japan, South Korea, and the United States, a trend it said had depleted China’s supply of eligible women still further. It offered a chart of the best destinations around the globe for Chinese men to find spouses. Japan and South Korea were particularly promising, the paper said, claiming that 26 percent of South Korean women who took foreign spouses in 2012 chose Chinese men. The trend is bound to grow, the argument went, since popular Korean television actress Park Chae-rim married her Chinese actor beau, Gao Ziqi, in September 2014.

Chinese Brides

Business Blind Spots

Estelle Metayer writes:  Businesses can have blind spots and they can be costly, causing companies to overinvest in risky ventures or to fail to take advantage of emerging opportunities. Successful leaders are careful to identify their company’s blind spots and introduce mechanisms to ensure that no harm will come from them.

One common source of businesses’ blind spots is judgment bias.  A good example of a company that suffered from this kind of blind spot is Nestlé. For decades, the Swiss multinational defined itself strictly as one the world’s leading food companies. In 2010, however, the company’s CEO, Paul Bulcke, redefined Nestlé as a “nutrition, health, and wellness” company. It was a brilliant strategic decision, allowing the firm to offer dozens of new product lines and services.

Many financial institutions are inadequately prepared to confront the new players entering their markets. Google, which is quietly testing the car-insurance waters, holds a banking license. Meanwhile, Square, Paypal, and the start-up company Affirm are already processing a large share of online payments.

In today’s fast-paced world, it takes only a single technological improvement, price advantage, or great viral advertising campaign for a competitor to leap ahead. New players can materialize seemingly out of nowhere. The taxi company Uber did not exist five years ago; it is now valued at more than $40 billion. The rapid expansion of Alibaba threatens Western retailers who never expected to face a Chinese competitor. Driverless cars and pilotless planes will soon transform many industries.

Another frequent cause of companies’ blind spots is historic bias, or what psychologists call an “anchoring bias” – the assumption that something that was true in the past will continue to be true in the future. A long track record of success can warp executives’ analysis, distort their decision-making, and leave them blind to incipient paradigm shifts or rapid changes in a market.

Overcoming historic biases requires questioning an industry’s taboos. For example, if the creators of television series like Game of Thrones, the most pirated show in history, stopped fighting copyright infringement, they could seize an opportunity. Advertisements directly embedded in the show would reach five million additional – illegal – viewers, in effect doubling their audience.

Guarding against blind spots takes careful thought, but executives and boards can put processes in place to protect against them. For starters, companies should diversify their talent pool.

Executives should make special efforts to break taboos, examine unchallenged assumptions, and question their businesses’ most sacred rules. Even simple methods, like writing down and challenging every assumption on which a company has based its strategy, can yield valuable insights. Every company should assign someone to play the role of “dissenter.” Sometimes called the “China breaker,” this person should be given time during board meetings to throw the good dishware against the wall and see what can be made of the pieces.

Industries are becoming increasingly complex and global competition is mounting. The companies that will be best placed to survive will be those that took the proper precautions to avoid being run off the road.

blind%20spot

Women Backing Women

When Amy Norman and Stella Ma started “Little Passports,” a website that invites parents to teach their children geography in an interesting way, they were turned down over and over again as they made presentations to venture capitaists

Today “Little Passports” makes $5 million a year and is a success by any standard.  They were funded by Golden Seeds, a venture capital group that has about 77% female members.

The basic argument about women’s money being available is that they make only 72 cents to every dollar a man makes.  But clearly women are stepping up with money, and focusing on women entrepreneurs is a worthy cause. Word is out among men that women are unwilling to take risks.  Simply not so.

Women entrepreneurs

Africa Ripe for Investment?

Africa is desperately short of investment. Infrastructure alone needs $90 billion a year.  Many of the normal routes by which capital gets into economies are blocked in Africa.

Only private equity has a direct route.  Private equity raised $4 billion for Africa last year, building toothpaste factories and providing modbile phone service.  Handing cash to pioneers in Africa is often seen as less risky than putting money in underdeveloped pubic markets.

Private equity has been warmly welcomed in Africa.  But Africa needs more than these funds can provide. Often they want to sell the firms they buy in five years. Long term investment is needed.  Uganda’s privatized electric grid gets a state-guaranteed return of 20% a yaer on all dollars invested in the grid.  African economies have grown 5% or more over the past decade.  The continent’s mddle class is projected to triple (one billion people)  by 2060.

Capital restrictions are in place in the rich world which prohibit long-term illiquid investments, such as ports, railways and roads.  African governments are also to blame.  Investors have not forgotten the natioanalizations across the continent in the 1960s and 1970s.

Rich counties need to change their regulations to get capital flowing freely.  African governments need to set up large regional stock exchanges to provide liquidity, security and ease of access.  The conitnent is ripe for investment if the right climate prevails.

Investing in Africa

 

Women Entrepreneurs Doing Good

Tara Tiger Brown writes: Women who inspire and shape entrepreneurial thinking for profit and nonprofit work.

From Inspiration to Innovation by Tina Seelig  I have listened to every single one of Stanford Ecorner’s podcasts. The driving force behind the series is Tina Seelig. She is an entrepreneur, author and professor. Every word out of her mouth makes so much sense. She has a new entrepreneurial framework that she has been working on called the Inventure Cycle. ”It includes definitions and relationships for the process of bringing ideas to life… and provides a scaffolding of skills, beginning with imagination, leading to a collective increase in entrepreneurial activity.” I highly recommend listening to the podcast if you are an entrepreneur.

In Conversation With by Kelly Hoey  One of the loudest cheerleaders for entrepreneurial women on Twitter has to be Kelly. If she believes in what you are doing the world is going to hear about it and then some. She interviews women professionals, has been on countless entrepreneur panels and is working hard to close the gender gap. She’s also a fellow Canadian so she gets extra points for that.

STEMinist by Ann Hoang  For the past few years I have learned about a variety of women in Science Technology Engineering and Math from the STEMinist interviews. These are the women doing their thing and not the three or four that constantly get talked about in the news. This is the place to go to learn about super cool people like Erica Moulton, a female marine technologist working on an experiment called “Fish In Space.” The mission of the site is to increase the visibility of women in STEM, promote and elevate the perspective of women in these traditionally underrepresented fields, and encourage younger women and girls to pursue careers in STEM.

Why the Maker Movement is Key to America’s Future with Stephanie Santoso  I can’t express how happy it makes me that a female was appointed to the position of Chief Maker at the White House. Equally as awesome is that the CTO position is now filled by Megan Smith, but I haven’t had the pleasure of meeting her yet. It is incredibly important for young people and girls to know they are capable of being creators and not just consumers. Stephanie is one of the forward thinkers at the Office of Science and Technology Policy that coordinated the first White House Maker Faire. She gives me so much hope that we can change things at the highest level. Follow Stephanie on Twitter so you don’t miss out on what’s happening in the maker world at the federal level.

Using Lean Startup to Do Plenty with Very Little by Kimberly Bryant  Anyone in nonprofit that teaches kids about technology knows who Kimberly Bryant is. Her organization, Black Girls Code, is “the Girl Scouts of technology.” Both Kimberly and I started our nonprofits around the same time and neither one of us knew what we were doing when we started them. I really like how she is using a framework for startups with her nonprofit organization. She is a tireless leader and an inspiration to anyone that wants to make a difference.

Hack Education by Audrey Watters  The industry I work in is education technology and so obviously I have to read everything Audrey writes. She is a pragmatist, a contrarian, snarky and makes us all think really hard until it hurts about the future of education.

Women Entrpreneurs

America Back in the Swing of Oil Production?

Daniel Yergin writes:  American shale oil has become the decisive new factor in the world oil market in a way that could not have been imagined five years ago. It has proved to be a truly disruptive technology. But will that impact continue in a world of low prices?

Oil is now below $50 a barrel, a price too low for a good deal of the new shale oil development to make economic sense. Yet output is likely to continue to rise by another 500,000 barrels per day in the first half of 2015 because of sheer momentum and commitments already made.

Come the middle of the year, however, growth will flatten out. Producers will work hard to improve efficiency and lower costs, but in 2016, at these prices, American output could decline. Production elsewhere in the world will also be flattening.

But by then, the world economy might be doing better, stimulating oil demand. Prices could start rising again. If the gulf producers have their way, prices will not go back to $100 a barrel. Even at prices well below $100, American shale oil producers will find ways to drive down costs and output will start rising again. And the world’s new swing producer will find itself back in the swing of things.

Oil production

What Obama Wants from India

This is the first time a US president will be visiting India twice. Why is Obama placing such importance on India, and what does he expect from a country that was formerly in the Soviet camp and has disappointed so many, despite decades of “liberalization”?

Major bilateral issues are part of the trip’s agenda. Defense, energy and counterterrorism are the main course for the talks, but President Obama’s top concern is deepening economic ties with India. The visit comes at a particularly fortuitous time. Both the US and India are on promising growth curves. It is entirely possible that Obama’s visit could mark the beginning of the most vigorous US-India economic cooperation since the beginning of the liberalization process nearly a quarter century ago.

Obama’s visit can potentially help right US-India economic relations and send a clear signal to American businesses that India can be a serious, stable place to grow.

1) Tax

There is wide agreement that the Indian government’s decision to contemptuously disregard a Supreme Court decision and overturn 50 years of settled Indian law to implement retrospective taxation on certain types of major business transactions has derailed Indian economic growth and given the country a notorious reputation in investment circles. Although it was the Congress-led government that decided to overturn a court’s decision and tax past offshore M&A (mergers and acquisitions) transactions, the Modi government has done little substantively to reverse that decision, despite carefully worded promises that it would not undertake any new cases based on retroactive tax laws.

While there are signs that India and the United States will sign a significant agreement to resolve certain other types of tax cases, the Indians must understand there are no half measures for repealing a tax that marked the Indian tax regime as untrustworthy and out-of-step with modern practice.

Obama’s second priority will be to persuade India to change its inflexible and archaic labor laws.

Obama’s third priority will be to seek a reduction to India’s infamous red tape. While some “single-window” clearance systems have been implemented with fanfare, anyone who has to deal with Indian bureaucracy still has to run from pillar to post. Many promising areas of growth have ground to a halt on mistaken bureaucratic action or complete inaction.

More importantly, even a “yes” in India infamously means “maybe” rather than an unequivocal “yes,” and this ruffles American feathers.

Modi has made very public efforts to make the bureaucracy work better or, simply, to show up for work.

One testy issue that doesn’t matter a whole lot is intellectual property (IP). This is a hot-button issue in both countries, but it is almost exclusively focused on pharmaceutical patents.

India has valid concerns about providing up-to-date medicines to its impoverished population at affordable prices, but it also needs to encourage domestic innovators who are being lured abroad by countries such as Singapore. The United States has valid concerns about enforcement of IP rights, but its bargaining position must not be held hostage by the large pharmaceutical companies. The US must recognize that compared to China, India is a virgin when it comes to IP violations. The courts will enforce foreign IP holders’ rights on a timely basis, and there is little “home cooking” when it comes to such decisions. IP holders in China would love to face the comparably minor challenges one meets in India.

There is a rational way forward here, one that allows India to impose rational and just price controls on drugs while allowing a vigorous IP regime that encourages innovation in the country. India requires fresh ideas and economic thinking on this issue rather than framing this as either a leftist defense of the poor or a craven collapse to outside business interests. For its part, the United States should help India find a balance and not let the pharmaceutical lobby dominate the discussion. The best selling point for “Make in India” is that the country will not rip off American intellectual property in the manner of China.

Prime Minister Modi deserves great credit for looking at India’s greater interests and reaching out to a country that only recently had him on a blacklist and barred from entry. President Obama has a great chance to reciprocate the gesture. Both leaders have a rare opportunity to help each other unlock India’s economic potential.

Obama and Modi Meet

Mothers: Where Are You?

Ramesh Ponnuru writes:  Democrats have a knack for stumbling into trouble with mothers who aren’t in the paid labor force.

In the late 1990s, Senator Chris Dodd said that being a full-time homemaker was a “wonderful luxury” for women who “want to go play golf or go to the club and play cards.” In 2012, Democrats said Ann Romney, who raised five sons, had “never worked a day in her life.” And a few months ago, President Obama suggested that for mothers to leave the labor force for a few years is “not a choice we want Americans to make.”

Two of Obama’s new proposals reflect ‘mother’ blindness.  Obama wants to triple the existing tax credit for child-care expenses, and create a new credit for second earners. Those proposals will help some parents and couples, but have nothing to offer families where one parent concentrates on home-based tasks. The second-earner credit is probably too small to affect couples’ decisions about work and child-care arrangements. So its main effect will be to lower the share of the tax burden paid by two-earner couples who were going to be working even without the credit.

There are two standard economic justifications for shifting the tax burden in this way, neither of them convincing.

One is that two-earner couples have higher costs than single-earner couples making the same income, so it’s harder for them to pay the same taxes.

The second is  that a progressive tax code, when applied to families rather than individuals, can penalize second earners. A second earner will often pay a higher tax rate than she would if she were single and making the same income, because she moves to a higher bracket when she marries a wage earner. The tax code thus discourages her from working. That’s true, but it’s just a special case of the way taxes discourage work, and not one that seems especially unjust or destructive. Marriage is (among other things) an economic partnership, and this feature of the tax code reflects that it involves pooling resources.

If the second-earner credit ignores that feature of marriage, Obama’s other proposal ignores how little Americans like commercial child care.

Given these preferences, it would make more sense to enlarge the child tax credit — not the child-care credit — and let parents use it as they see fit rather than requiring them to use the commercial day care most of them try to avoid.

But as most homemakers could tell you, paid work isn’t everything.

Stay at Home Moms

Lagarde: Closing the Gender Gap by 25% Could Employ 100 Million Women

Christine Lagarde writes: As 2015 begins, policymakers around the world are faced with three fundamental choices: to strive for economic growth or accept stagnation; to work to improve stability or risk succumbing to fragility; and to cooperate or go it alone.

For starters, growth and jobs are needed to support prosperity and social cohesion in the wake of the Great Recession that began in 2008. Six years after the eruption of the financial crisis, the recovery remains weak and uneven. Global growth is projected at just 3.3% in 2014 and 3.8% in 2015.

To break free from stagnation, we need renewed policy momentum. If the measures agreed by the leaders assembled at the G-20 in November are implemented, they will lift world GDP by more than 2% by 2018 – the equivalent of adding $2 trillion in global income. Furthermore, by 2025, if the laudable – yet not overly ambitious – goal of closing the gender gap by 25% is achieved, 100 million women could have jobs that they didn’t have before.

Sructural reforms and  building new momentum will require pulling all possible levers that can support global demand. Accommodative monetary policy will remain essential for as long as growth remains anemic – though we must pay careful attention to potential spillovers. Fiscal policy should be focused on promoting growth and creating jobs, while maintaining medium-term credibility. And labor-market policies should continue to emphasize training, affordable childcare, and workplace flexibility.

We must consider how we can make our increasingly interconnected world a safer place. Financial integration has risen tenfold since World War II. National economies are so interconnected that shifts in market sentiment tend to cascade globally. It is therefore critical that we complete the agenda on financial-sector reform.

Countries must now implement the reforms and improve the quality of supervision. We also need better rules for nonbanks, stricter monitoring of shadow banks, and improved safeguards and more transparency in the derivatives markets. Progress on closing data gaps in the financial sector is urgently needed as well, so that regulators can properly assess risks to financial stability.

Most important, the culture of the financial sector needs to change. The principal purpose of finance is to provide services to the other parts of the economy, which it cannot do unless it enjoys the confidence of those who depend on those services. Restoring trust should therefore start with an all-out effort to promote and enforce ethical behavior throughout the industry.

The third choice, whether to cooperate or go it alone, is the most critical. Sovereign states are no longer the only actors on the scene. A global network of new stakeholders has emerged, including NGOs and citizen activists – often empowered by social media.

The year 2014 was a tough one. The recovery was slow, a series of dangerous geopolitical risks emerged, and the world was confronted with a devastating Ebola outbreak. This year may be another tough one, but it could also be a good one – a truly multilateral year.

New momentum on global trade could help unlock investment worldwide. The adoption of the IMF reforms by the United States Congress would send a long-overdue signal to rapidly growing emerging economies.

Growth, trade, development, and climate change: 2015 will be a rendezvous of important multilateral initiatives. We cannot afford to see them fail. Let us make the right choices.

 Lagarde

Solar Power

Kirsten Korosec writes:  SolarCity, the largest installer of residential solar systems in the U.S., nearly doubled its workforce last year, hiring 4,000 people to do everything from system design and site surveys to installation and engineering.

The hiring spree at SolarCity isn’t slowing; it’s picking up speed as the company attempts to install twice as many rooftop solar systems than last year and readies its 1.2 million-square foot factory in New York, which is scheduled to reach full production in 2017.

Installers, panel makers, and even traditional fossil fuel energy companies helped U.S. solar employment grow nearly 22 percent in 2014.

The company’s expansion is indicative of what’s happening within the broader solar industry. More than 31,000 new solar jobs were created in the U.S. in 2014 bringing the total to 173,807—a 21.8 percent increase in employment since November 2013, according to a report released Thursday by The Solar Foundation. This is the second consecutive year that solar jobs have increased by at least 20 percent.

The solar industry is still dwarfed by the 9.8 million workers that the American Petroleum Industry says are employed the oil and gas industry.

Solar already employs more people than coal mining, which has 93,185 workers, and has added 50 percent more jobs in 2014 than the oil and gas pipeline construction industry (10,529) and the crude petroleum and natural gas extraction industry (8,688) did combined, according to the Solar Foundation.

One out of every 78 new jobs created in the U.S. over the past 12 months were created by the solar industry, representing nearly 1.3 percent of all jobs created in the country. Solar companies surveyed for the fifth annual census plan to add another 36,000 employees this year.

Third-party financing that allows homeowners to lease solar systems, a stabilizing manufacturing sector and utility-scale solar developers scrambling to finish projects before the federal investment tax credit drops from 30 percent to 10 percent on Jan. 1, 2017 has helped drive growth, says Andrea Luecke, president and executive director of The Solar Foundation.

The solar job-growth trend has spilled beyond the confines of companies solely dedicated to the renewable energy source.

NRG Energy, one of the largest U.S. independent power producers and owner of 88 fossil fuel and nuclear plants, is expanding its solar business rapidly. NRG’s Home Solar group, the residential solar division of NRG Home, hired 500 people in the past 12 months and now has 1,200 workers.

“We’re growing explosively in several markets,” NRG Home Solar president Kelcy Pegler Jr. said in an interview with Fortune on Thursday following the company’s investor day presentation.

As a result, Pegler’s residential home solar group plans to add “hundreds of jobs” this quarter and will double its current headcount in the next two years.

NRG Energy, which employs 10,000 people, reorganized last year into three business lines: NRG Business, NRG Home and NRG Renew. The company NRG -1.02% has a number of other solar-related jobs within NRG Renew and NRG Home, including its power on the go division which was expanded after the 2014 acquisition of portable solar power company Goal Zero.

These aren’t just part-time jobs either, these are careers.

Solar Power