People of the US V Credit Suisse

UPDATE March 16, 2015:   Individual ezperts who testitfed before the Labor Department’s hearing on a waiver for Credit Suisse have been asked to provide more documentation of proof that Credit Suisse has a culture of corruption.  Very specific documentation was sent last week.  No deicsion has yet been made on this matter.  The CEO of Credit Suisse stepped down last wee, perhaps in part because Credit Suise wants to keep their $2 billioin in US pension funds management.

Last year Credit Suisse pled guilty to criminal charges to aiding and abetting tax evasion in the United States.  Now a ‘criminal’ Credit Suisse was banned from continuing to operate 2 billion dollars in pension funds in this coutnry.  They applied to the Labor Department for an extension, which they expected to be pro forma, In fact, a temporary exemption was granted.

Then Maxine Waters, a US representative from California cried out, Wait.  Let’s take a deerper look at this.  Let’s hold a public hearing.

On January 15, 2015, the hearing was held.  From Credit Suisse, the same old, same old was heard.  Top executives knew nothing of these programs to aid and abet tax evaders.  All the bad guys had been removed.  But reporters in Switzerland, intimately familiar with Credit Suisse’s business practices, asked the obvious question: Is the culture of Credit Suisse so corrupt that under no circumstances should this exemption be granted?

Hard evidence from the European justice system suggests the answer to this question is: Yes.

Mr. Neil Radey, Managing Director, General Counsell-America, co-General Counsel-Investment Banking, Credit Suisse Securities (USA) LLC said:  “Some commenters have alleged that senior management at Credit Suisse knew of the active assistance to U.S. customers evading taxes described in the plea agreement. These are claims that are unsubstantiated. Indeed, it was an independent investigation. It was conducted by external counsel, but it concluded that senior management was not aware of that misconduct.”

On November 21, 2011 a German district court ruling – file number10 KLs 14/11 – attested Credit Suisse to have instigated a large scale system to entice German citizens to evade taxes. The verdict further stated that Credit Suisse top management knew about this deliberate assault against the German revenue service. The court found that training materials were used to systematically train Credit Suisse staff to seek out German tax evaders. The verdict clearly confirmed that Credit Suisse’s top management had knowledge of the tax evasion crimes.

Neither the Credit Suisse internal tax investigation nor Credit Suisse top management reported any of the bank’s tax fraud found by the German Court to the US authorities.

Considering the German court’s unambiguous verdict against Credit Suisse, the fact that the bank’s senior management is still denying its knowledge about the tax evasion scheme and the fact that Credit Suisse is a repeat offender, Credit Suisse or its affiliates should not be given any exemptions. Credit Suisse’s statements do not have credibility.

Since Credit Suisse has not come clean with its criminal past, it is hard to understand how the Department of Labor can grant an exemption.   The risk that Credit Suisse could continue to engage in criminal activities through its QPAM’s – as it has often done in the past —  is far too great.

Credit Suisse

 

Mary Jo White, SEC head, Defends Use of Waivers

Bartlett Naylor writes:  On March 12, Securities and Exchange Commission Chair Mary Jo White publicly returned fire for the first time on the charge from outsiders and two of her fellow commissioners that her agency is soft on Wall Street.

Cut through her rhetoric, however, and what she’s saying: “The SEC trusts Wall Street.”

Here’s the background. The Department of Justice has fined major Wall Street firms for serious violations. The firms have settled by paying billions of shareholder funds in penalties. These infractions trigger other sanctions including the loss of certain privileges at the SEC. But the SEC has generally waived these sanctions. Commissioners Kara Stein and Luis Aguilar have voted against these waivers in several cases, arguing, among other reasons, that waivers dilute the deterrence effect of the automatic sanctions.

On March 12 Chair White drew a line in the sand. These sanctions should not be viewed as deterrence. She explained: “It must be emphasized, however, that it would not be an appropriate exercise of our authority to deny a waiver to further punish an entity for its misconduct or history of misconduct, or in an effort to deter it or others from possible future misconduct, by letting stand an automatic disqualification where the circumstances do not warrant it.”

White undoubtedly penned this speech well before the eve of the speech and advantaged the prodigious legal talent on the SEC staff to buttress her legal case. The written speech includes footnotes and the assertion just quoted contains a footnote to a rule the SEC approved in July 2013. White approved this rule. In fact, however, the rule does not buttress her case. On the contrary, the rule speaks directly about deterrence. The rule makes reference to deterrence five separate times.

Leaders in Congress side with Stein and Aguilar. Rep. Maxine Waters, (D-Calif.) and ranking Democrat on the House Financial Services Committee has promised to introduce legislation to limit the use of waivers and bolster the deterrence effect.  Sen. Sherrod Brown also challenged White’s use of waivers.

From high altitude, Wall Street has escaped true justice. Even as the DOJ claims that major firms committed massive fraud contributing to the financial crisis of 2008 that evicted millions from their homes and jobs and erased $12 trillion from the economy, no Wall Street executive went to prison.

There’s an additional troubling element to White’s position. White says that the only factor that the SEC should consider is whether the firm can honestly provide the services that the sanctions would otherwise interrupt.  That’s a precarious place for the SEC. She’s essentially asking her fellow commissioners to enter the attestation business. That’s a process used in enforcement at companies where CEOs are required to attest that their firms comply with accounting or other rules. The default position should be what the law and rules dictate—loss of privileges. If a firm can build an independently verifiable case that it can honestly serve the market in a division separate from where the violations took place, then the SEC might grant a waiver. Short of that, the SEC should not be saying: “We trust Wall Street.”

Mary Jo White

Stress Tests Flummoxing US Banks

And this is good!  While no big U.S. bank failed the test, some of Wall Street’s marquee names were shocked by the disparity between their expectations and the Fed’s, such as projections for how banks’ assets and net income would fare in a severe economic downturn, said people close to the banks.

“We all ended up having a wake-up call on what [the Fed] thought our losses could be,” said a person close to the process.

Matt Levine estimates that discussions about how unpredictable these tests should be suggests: enough to keep the banks on their toes and make them think seriously about their crisis modeling, but not so much as to be a random outcome that makes modeling pointless.

How much the three revise-and-resubmitters took out of their revised capital plans: Morgan Stanley cut out a $4.9 billion preferred-stock buyback, JPMorgan cut out about $6 billion of capital return, and Goldman probably cut out about $3 billion.

Stress Test

Rate Cut Battles Across the Globe

Willaim Pesek writes:  The Bank of Korea has no shortage of diplomatic ways to explain yesterday’s surprise rate cut, including weak domestic demand, sluggish business investment and anemic exports. But it’s worth being clear what this move was really about: Japan.

For weeks, South Korean Finance Minister Choi Kyung Hwan and other politicians have been demanding that the BOK weaken the won so Korean exporters could better compete with their counterparts in Japan. Which was fair enough: Since mid-November 2012, when Tokyo began devaluing its currency, the won has surged 44 percent against the yen. Yesterday, BOK Governor Lee Ju Yeol finally bowed to the pressure, slashing the central bank’s repurchase rate a quarter of a percentage point to a record low 1.75 percent.

In some sense, however, South Korea still isn’t taking Japan seriously enough. South Korea should be less concerned about its short-term export woes and more concerned about the prospect of mimicking Japan’s lost economic decades since the 1990s. Unless policymakers act far more aggressively in the near future, they still riska long term state of “Japanization,” a semi-permanent deflationary funk that strangles living standards. Here are three ways Seoul can avoid that fate.

First, it should end its monetary stinginess. South Korea’s high household debt levels — currently at a record $962 billion, or 70 percent of gross domestic product — are said to have dissuaded Lee from cutting rates sooner.

Second, South Korea should prod companies to raise wages. Beginning this year, South Korea’s family-owned conglomerates, or chaebol, will be subject to a 10 percent tax on excessive hoarding of cash that could be better spent on wages or investments.

South Korean President Park Geun Hye could help change this situation by using her bully pulpit to shame companies that underpay workers. She could also push for tax laws that would give those companies financial incentives to hire their part-time staff to full-time contracts.

Third, South Korea needs to stop obsessing ovre exchange rates. The country needs to become more competitive, but it would be a mistake to pursue that goal solely through depreciation.

Park seems to recognize that South Korea must learn to thrive even when exchange rates move against it. She has pledged, for example, to build a creative economy that produces new industries, generates good-paying jobs and reduces the dominance of the chaebol. But for too long, South Korea has relied on depreciation to shield the country from creative destruction.

The BOK’s recent rate cut was the right move for now; in the short term, it should help exporters keep pace with their competitors. But if South Korea wants to avoid ending up in Japan’s economic rut, its ambitions will have to go beyond interest rates.

Interest Rates in Asia

Should the US Fed be Transparent?

Barry Eichengreen writes: The Federal Reserve is under attack. Bills subjecting the United States’ central bank to “auditing” by the Government Accountability Office are likely to be passed by both houses of Congress. Legislation that would tie how the Fed sets interest rates to a predetermined formula is also being considered.

Anyone unaware of the incoming fire only had to listen to the grilling Fed Chair Janet Yellen received recently on Capitol Hill. Members of Congress criticized Yellen for meeting privately with the president and treasury secretary, and denounced her for weighing in on issues tangential to monetary policy.

Still others, like Richard Fisher, the outgoing president of the Dallas Fed, have inveighed against the special role of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. Reflecting the New York Fed’s heavy regulatory responsibilities, owing to its proximity to the seat of finance, its president has a permanent seat on the Federal Open Market Committee, the body that sets the Fed’s benchmark interest rate. This, its detractors warn, privileges Wall Street in the operation of the Federal Reserve System.

Finally, some object that bankers dominate the boards of directors of the regional Reserve Banks, making it seem that the foxes are guarding the henhouse.

This criticism reflects the fact that the United States has just been through a major financial crisis, in the course of which the Fed took a series of extraordinary steps. It helped bail out Bear Stearns, the government-backed mortgage lenders Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae, and the insurance giant AIG. It extended dollar swap lines not just to the Bank of England and the European Central Bank but also to the central banks of Mexico, Brazil, Korea, and Singapore. And it embarked on an unprecedented expansion of its balance sheet under the guise of quantitative easing.

These decisions were controversial, and their advisability has been questioned – as it should be in a democracy. In turn, Fed officials have sought to justify their actions, which is also the way a democracy should function.

There is ample precedent for a Congressional response. When the US last experienced a crisis of this magnitude, in the 1930s, the Federal Reserve System similarly came under Congressional scrutiny. The result was the Glass-Steagall Act of 1932 and 1933, which gave the Fed more leeway in lending, and the Gold Reserve Act of 1934, which allowed it to disregard earlier gold-standard rules.

The Banking Act of 1935, as amended in 1942, then shifted power from the Reserve Banks to the Board in Washington, DC, and confirmed the special role of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.

These reforms reflected an overwhelming consensus that the Fed had been derelict in fulfilling its duties. It had failed to prevent the money supply from contracting in the early stages of the Great Depression. Heedless of its responsibilities as an emergency lender, it had allowed the banking system to collapse. When financial stability hung in the balance in 1933, the Reserve Banks’ failure to cooperate prevented effective action.

Given such incompetence, it is not surprising that subsequent reforms were far-reaching. But these reforms went in precisely the opposite direction from today’s proposed changes: fewer limits on policy makers’ discretion, more power to the Board, and a larger role for the New York Fed, all to enable the Federal Reserve System to react more quickly and robustly in a crisis. It is far from clear, in other words, that the right response to the latest crisis is an abrupt about-face.

Ultimately, whether significant changes are warranted should depend on whether the central bank’s interventions in fact aggravated the recent crisis, as they aggravated the crisis of the 1930s. But the Fed’s critics have been curiously nonspecific about what they regard as the Fed’s mistakes. And where they have been specific, as with the accusation that the Fed was fomenting inflation, they have been entirely wrong.

Fed officials, for their part, must better justify their actions. While they would prefer not to re-litigate endlessly the events of 2008, continued criticism suggests that their decisions are still not well understood and that officials must do more to explain them.

In addition, Fed officials should avoid weighing in on issues that are only obliquely related to monetary policy. Their mandate is to maintain price and financial stability, as well as maximum employment. The more intently Fed governors focus on their core responsibilities, the more inclined politicians will be to respect their independence.

Finally, Fed officials should acknowledge that at least some of the critics’ suggestions have merit. For example, eliminating commercial banks’ right to select a majority of each Reserve Bank’s board would be a useful step in the direction of greater openness and diversity.

US Fed Transparency

 

Why Does the US Have Fewer Banks?

The Richmond Federal Reserve writes: The financial crisis of 2007 – 08 was a major shock to the U.S. banking sector. From 2007 through 2013, the number of independent commercial banks shrank by 14 percent – more than 800 institutions. Most of this decrease was due to the dwindling number of community banks. While some of this decline was caused by failure, most of it was driven by an unprecedented collapse in new bank entry.  Why Fewer Banks?

Bankers and Lawyers Have Different Roles in Money Laundering?

William Hubbard, head of the American Bar Association, writes: A recent decision of the Supreme Court of Canada protects the integrity of the attorney-client privilege and the confidential lawyer-client relationship in connection with Canada’s federal anti-money laundering, anti-terror law.

The court’s Feb. 13 landmark decision in Attorney General of Canada v. Federation of Law Societies of Canada acknowledges the critical importance of the attorney-client privilege—known in Canada as the solicitor-client privilege— and strikes down portions of Canada’s Proceeds of Crime (money laundering) and Terrorist Financing Act and regulations that would intrude on the privilege.

The opinion reinforces the principles that lawyers are not agents of the state and that the government may not search lawyers’ records without a warrant. The decision also affords constitutional protection to the privilege and to a lawyer’s broader “commitment to the client’s cause,” meaning that the government cannot impose obligations on lawyers that undermine either principle.

Although the opinion is from the Canadian Supreme Court, it also has resonance for the United States. The attorney-client privilege is a bedrock legal principle of our free society. It enables both individual and organizational clients to communicate with their lawyers in confidence, which is essential to preserving all clients’ fundamental rights to effective counsel. The Canadian decision should serve as an important reminder to U.S. legislators and regulators that federal regulation of the legal profession has limits, including limits on measures that intrude on the privilege or on the broader confidential lawyer-client relationship.

Those who know of the U.S. government’s attempts to impose anti-money laundering and counter-terrorist financing mandates on U.S. lawyers will identify with the history behind the Canadian ruling.  Fifteen years ago, the Canadian Parliament enacted a sweeping anti-money laundering law requiring financial intermediaries—including lawyers—to collect, record and retain material. The law created a new agency to oversee compliance, and it allowed that agency to search for and seize material. Non-compliance subjected the offender to fines and imprisonment. Regulations adopted in 2002 subjected lawyers to the law’s recordkeeping and client-verification requirements and allowed the government to search and seize records, subject to a limited exception for the privilege.

The Federation of Law Societies of Canada challenged the constitutionality of these measures as they applied to lawyers and prevailed at every step of the litigation that spanned more than a decade. The court’s recent decision struck down those portions of the law allowing warrantless searches and seizures of lawyers’ offices and those requiring lawyers to monitor and report their clients’ financial activities to the government. The court reasoned that each of these actions would undermine both the privilege and the lawyer’s duty to the client.

ABA adopted voluntary good practices guidance in 2010 designed to help lawyers to detect and prevent money laundering in their practices. Last year, the ABA also collaborated with the International Bar Association and the Council of Bars and Law Societies of Europe to produce a lawyer’s guide with practical tips for detecting and preventing money laundering, highlighting the ABA’s commitment—both domestically and internationally—to educating the profession in this area.

The decision by Canada’s highest court eloquently recognizes the critical role that the attorney-client privilege and the confidential lawyer-client relationship play in our justice system. Although we are heartened by the opinion that will protect the Canadian legal profession from intrusive regulation, legislative and regulatory efforts that could imperil the same values remain in the United States.

Money Laundering and the Law

 

Did Maxine Waters, John McCain and Carl Levin Oust Credit Suisse CEO Dougan?

Dougan took over Credit Suisse in 2007, just in time to catch the worst global financial crisis in decades.

Last year Swiss lawmakers started pressuring him to resign after the bank plead guilty to helping clients evade taxes. The $2.6 billion fine the bank had to pay resulted in its first quarterly loss since 2008.

Pressure was mounting on Dougan from inside the bank too. After he testified on Capitol Hill about the tax evasion matter, a staff group representing Swiss bankers at Credit Suisse and other Swiss banks demanded that he apologize. They said Dougan’s testimony simply served to “vilify lots of employees that had nothing to do with offshore U.S. banking.”

Who knew what and when has been a continuig question in the investigation of banks, money laundering and aiding and abetting income tax evasion.  It is probable that the Department of Justice, the SEC, IRS and White House did not want to force an American banking CEO to plead guilty to criminal activities.

The Senate Committee on Investigations and a posse of legislators in the House and Senate kept insisting that top brass be brought to justice..  It is probable that a foreign bank was picked to take the rap.

Brady Dugan has claimed to have no knowledge of the schemes to aid and abet tax evasion.

When Maxine Waters insisted that the Department of Labor hold hearings on a Credit Suisse exemption from their criminal plea, evidence was submitted that Dougan did in fact know all about these schemes.  Pressure brought by the Labor Department hearing, the outcome of which has not yet been announced, may well have forced his resignation.

Credit Suisse wants the 2 billion US pension business it has been handling.  Proof that Credit Suisse had put aside its “culture of corruption” may have forced Dougan to step down.

It will be interesting to see if the exemption is now granted to Credit Suisse, and the reasons for which it is granted.  Clearly talk has been flying from the DOJ to the White House to the SEC.

Brady Dougan

 

 

Global Finance

The European Central Bank and national central banks started buying soveeign debt under a plan to inect 1.1 trillion euros into the economy.

Deutsche Bundesbank President Jens Weidmann’s opposition to the ECB’s move: “The most vocal critic of the European Central Bank’s quantitative easing program criticized the program as it was being launched.

The yuan is losing strength against the dollar, and now there is nervous talk about what would happen if China launched quantitative credit-easing moves.  We have noted that this uneven application of QE and the differential interest rates across the globe impacts economies in odd ways that are only beginning to be noted.  Currency wars result in some cases.

Chinese regulators are turning to Japan for lessons on how to keep the world’s second biggest economy from taking the same path of recession and deflation that has blighted its neighbor for the past 20 years.

Global Economy?

 

 

US Banks Ready for Stress?

The nation’s 31 largest banks stand to shed close to half a trillion dollars if the economy slumped into a deep depression, the Federal Reserve said Thursday.

But the banks — which include Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo and Goldman Sachs — appear better positioned than ever to handle such loss, Fed data show.

Indeed, for the first time since the Fed began conducting its “stress tests” on banks with more than $50 billion in assets, not one fell below the Fed’s capital requirements, according to the first phase of the Fed’s stress test results released Thursday.

That places the nation’s biggest banks in a better position to pass the next phase of the Fed’s stress testing, which will determine which lenders may proceed with plans to return capital to investors. Final grades will be doled out Wednesday.

The Fed said the nation’s 31 largest banks would lose $490 billion in the 27 months ending October 2016 if the economy was rocked by what it called “severely adverse” conditions.

Those would include a 10% unemployment rate, a 25% drop in housing prices, a stock market plunge of nearly 60% and “a notable rise in market volatility.”

But banks have been steadily building their capital reserves to protect against losses due to stiffer requirements from the Fed, which is seeking to avoid further taxpayer funded bailouts like those made during the mortgage meltdown.

Under the Fed’s worst case scenario, the 31 firms tested would see their common capital ratios, which compare high-quality capital to risky assets, fall from 11.9% in the third quarter of 2014 to 8.2%.

That compares to aggregate capital ratios of 5.5% in the beginning of 2009, and 7.6% last year.

“It means our banking sector is pretty healthy right now from the perspective how how much money they are holding,” said Anna Krayn, head of stress testing for Moody’s Analytics. “Some would argue that there’s excess capital in the system,” she said.

Thursday’s results are just the first phase in the Fed’s stress testing process. On Wednesday, the Fed will announce whether any of the 31 banks still need to rein in capital spending plans.

Last year, Citigroup, Royal Bank of Scotland Group, HSBC Holdings and Banco Santander passed the Fed’s initial capital hurdle, but still fell short of complete success after the Fed determined that the quality of their processes, including their ability to assess risk, wasn’t good enough.

Another fail for Citigroup, the largest of the big banks to fail the test twice, will put pressure on CEO Michael Corbat whose success may be measured by Citi’s performance.

The real question is: are these stress tests and adequate measure of capacity to take a hit.