Entrepreneur Alert: Can Ghana Pass the Muster?

A team from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) is due in Ghana for the second assessment of the country’s program with the fund,  The IMF program was homegrown and that the government was committed to keeping with fiscal discipline in order to meet the goals set under the three-year program in order to stabilize the micro-economy.

President Mahama said this when he interacted with the business community in the Ashanti Region in Kumasi last Sunday night as part of his two-day working visit to the region.

Enumerating the many programs the government was initiating to boost the private sector, the President said: “In the last two to three years, we have given very significant support to the private sector, especially in agribusiness.”

“Now private companies have been set up and they are buying our local rice for processing for both the local and export markets,” he added.

Although he expressed appreciation to the private sector for its tremendous contribution to Ghana’s economic growth, he challenged it to think outside the box to advance the growth.

The Ashanti Region, as the epicentre of business in Ghana, provides opportunity for businesses to venture into manufacturing.

President Mahama urged the private sector to stand solidly behind the government when it took tough decisions to improve the economy.

He indicated that taking such decisions did not mean he was wicked but that he wanted to restore micro-economic stability.

He also asked private businesses to pay their taxes promptly.

The President was not happy with the high interest rates charged by the banks, asking, “When you borrow at 25 per cent, what business can you do to make profit?”

Notwithstanding the challenges, he said, the Agenda for Transformation being pursued by the government was bound to turn things around by bringing down inflation, which would reflect in a reduction in interest rates.

President Mahama said efforts to resolve the power crisis were on course.

Ghana's Health Improving?

Consensus on Carbon Pricing

An unprecedented alliance of heads of state, city, and state leaders, has called for countries and companies around the world to put a price on carbon.

Joshua Hill writes:  The Carbon Pricing Panel, a group of leaders from around the world convened by World Bank Group President Jim Yong Kim and IMF Managing Director Christine Lagarde, in conjunction with OECD Secretary General Angel Gurria. In all, the Carbon Pricing Panel is made up of German Chancellor Angela Merkel, Chilean President Michelle Bachelet, French President François Hollande, Ethiopian Prime Minister Hailemariam Desalegn, Philippines President Benigno Aquino III, Mexican President Enrique Peña Nieto, Governor Jerry Brown of California, and Mayor Eduardo Paes of Rio de Janeiro.

“There has never been a global movement to put a price on carbon at this level and with this degree of unison,” said World Bank Group President Jim Yong Kim.

“It marks a turning point from the debate on the economic systems needed for low carbon growth to the implementation of policies and pricing mechanisms to deliver jobs, clean growth and prosperity. The science is clear, the economics compelling and we now see political leadership emerging to take green investment to scale at a speed commensurate with the climate challenge.”

In under a month, world leaders will be meeting in Paris for the UN climate negotiations, and this new challenge from some of those who will be in attendance — including host nation President François Hollande and the ever-formidable Angela Merkel — is sure to be a topic of discussion. The group are calling on their country, state, and city counterparts from around the world “to join them in pricing carbon to steer the global economy towards a low carbon, productive, competitive future without the dangerous levels of carbon pollution driving warning.”

There are already 40 nations and 23 cities, states, and regions around the world that have implemented or are in the process of implementing a price on carbon, with a variety of programs and policy mechanisms covering approximately 12% of global greenhouse gas emissions.

“Finance ministers need to think about reforms to fiscal systems in order to raise more revenue from taxes on carbon-intensive fuels and less revenue from other taxes that are detrimental to economic performance, such as taxes on labor and capital,” said Christine Lagarde, Managing Director of the International Monetary Fund. “They need to evaluate the carbon tax rates that will help them meet their mitigation pledges for Paris and accompanying measures to help low-income households vulnerable to higher energy prices.”

The panel are also wielding a significant amount of private sector support, with institutions such as US institutional investor CalPERS, ENGIE of France, Mahindra Group of India, and Netherlands-based Royal DSM backing the call, and which will help link business needs with public policies through the Carbon Pricing Leadership Coalition, an action based platform that will be officially launched in Paris on November 30, 2015.

Carbon Monoxide

Xi’s British Visit: Dumping Steel, the Royals

Xi’s state visit to Britain brings up past slights, present steel dumping and the role of the heir apparent to the British throne.

China is dumping steel because their economy is slowing.   In China, because steel is so important it is subsidized.  The steel that’s being dumped is at the price steel producers around the world can’t compete with.  In the US there are dumping tariffs.  Surely the subject will be discussed in on Xi’s state visit.

Prince Charles is a supporter of the Dhali Llama .  He is doing his duty by attending welcoming ceremonies, but will not attend a dinner at Buckingham Palace.  How does his mother feel about this? We don’t know.

Dumping Steel

 

Engaging Women in Finance

From the International Monetary Fund:

  • Countries need to make plans now for implementing the post-2015 agenda
  • Increasing access to finance—particularly for women—will be vital
  • Given collective nature of many issues, international cooperation is key

Marueen Burke writes:  Governments must take action at the country level and the collective level to mobilize resources and partner with the private sector if they are to attain the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals, panelists said at a seminar.

“You really have to approach it in a comprehensive way,” noted Joseph Stiglitz of Columbia University. As such, he said, each country ought to have a national dialogue about its own development goals and the interaction between these different goals.

For Magdalena Andersson, Sweden’s Minister of Finance, revenue mobilization was seen as essential.

Akinwumi Adenisa, the newly appointed President the African Development Bank (AfDB), concurred. “Africa needs roughly $100 billion for investment in infrastructure. But right now we have only about $50 billion,” he observed. Multilateral development banks should be doing more to promote risk-sharing instruments that allow the private sector to lend significant amounts without shouldering excessive risk. “Risk sharing is what permits the AfDB to partner with the private sector,” he said.

While panelists agreed that private-public partnerships were a key factor in low-income countries’ development, some also noted that governments did not have to rely solely on external funding sources. “There is a lot of potential revenue in the country that countries could tap,” said IMF Deputy Managing Director Min Zhu, noting that the IMF has devised a new “revenue gap analysis” tool that helps countries understand where the gaps are in their revenue collection.

There are ways of improving the tax efficiency by reducing tax exemptions and broadening the tax base, as Vietnam and Tanzania have done successfully.

Realistically, though, you can’t tax very poor people. Giving potential entrepreneurs access to finance is critical to giving a “leg up” to people in low-income countries.

Claver Gatete, Rwanda’s Minister for Finance and Economic Planning, also zeroed in on the role of governments in ensuring that women are active participants in the economy.

Beyond mobilizing revenue and facilitating the economic participation of women, there is still more to be done, said Tony Elumelu, a successful Nigerian entrepreneur. His country has benefitted from external resources by way of aid and by way of private flows, he said. While aid has helped address some of the continent’s issues, it has not helped significantly alleviate poverty or create jobs.

The answer, he said, is private investment—and preferably partnerships between local investors and international ones.

Zhu noted that the IMF is active in several ways. It has put more resources on the table by allowing low-income countries to borrow up to an additional fifty percent from the IMF’s concessional facilities at an interest rate of zero percent. It is also intensifying its policy dialogue with member countries and strengthening its efforts to help increase their institutional capacity, particularly in the context of the sustainable development goals.

As for the World Bank, Managing Director and Chief Financial Officer Bertrand Badré Badre explained:  “We have to work together. We can create additional resources, we can share innovation, and we have to make things easier for investors.”

Harm Bengen / East Friesland www.w-t-w.org/en/harm-bengen www.harmbengen.de

Harm Bengen / East Friesland
www.w-t-w.org/en/harm-bengen
www.harmbengen.de

Is Slowing Global Growth of Concern?

As the world economy is facing varied challenges including slowing growth,differentiated policies, transition and increasing uncertainties, new strategies are needed tocope with the changing economic situation and boost global economic development.

IMF Managing Director Christine Lagarde has said the world economy is not in a crisis any more, but in a period of change.

She warned policymakers around the world that “no country can go it alone and international cooperation is more needed than ever.”

In the eyes of experts attending the meetings — an important event to estimate the world economic situation, challenges in the period of change may not less than those in the crisis.

Just before the annual meetings, the IMF downgraded its forecast for global economic growththis year to 3.1 percent from the 3.3 percent it forecast in July and the 3.5 percent it projectedin April.

In face of the severe economic situation, Lagarde said, the IMF will pay more attention to economic transition, spillovers of major economies’ policies and global cooperation.

Some economists believe that over the past seven years after the outbreak of the global financial crisis in 2008, money printing served as a main solution to boost the world economy from crisis to recovery.

Meanwhile, emerging economies and developing countries, led by China, have played the role as a major engine for global growth.

However, with the growing transition of the world economy, the old solution to boost globaleconomic development needs to be changed.

During the period of transition, changes in China and the United States, the world’s twolargest economies, will have a global impact.

As a main contributor to the world economic growth in recent years, China’s economictransition has attracted worldwide attention.

Chinese Finance Minister Lou Jiwei has said that the slow growth of emerging economies is relative and China’s 7 percent is still a very high growth rate at the international level.

China’s transition and reform have been widely recognized at the meetings.

Commenting on China’s GDP growth, Lagarde said the country’s slowdown was “predictable and expected.”

“There will be bumps on the road as no transtion can be done smoothly with no disruption or volatility … We welcome China’s transition process coupled with more market-determined exchange rate fluctuations,” she said.

“In China, fiscal, social security and state-owned enterprise reforms are needed to transitionto more domestically-driven growth, which will benefit the global economy over time,” it said.

In addition, the China-proposed Belt and Road initiative, or the Silk Road Economic Belt andthe 21st Century Maritime Silk Road initiative, and the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank(AIIB) establishment have both attracted more attention as new solutions for boosting globaleconomic growth.

Meanwhile, the United States, whose economic recovery has largely benefited from theposition of the US dollar, a universal money, should bear more global responsibilities and playa bigger role in boosting the world economic growth.

For example, it should work with other developed countries to further broaden public investment to fuel economic growth, so as to provide outside support for developing countries’ structural readjustment.

Moreover, export-dependent countries seeing their revenues falling should accelerate reform and explore new areas for growth.

All in all, both China and the United States, as well as other major economies, should strengthen coordination in their macro-policies and stay away from self-serving trade manipulation for a healthier recovery of the world economy.

 

Addressing Corruption in Ukraine

Three U.S. Democratic senators – Elizabeth Warren, Jeanne Shaheen and Richard Durbin have underscored the importance of Ukraine’s fight against corruption.

“When it comes to the issue of Ukraine there is unity between Democrats and Republicans, the Administration and Congress,” Durbin said. Then, referring to the EuroMaidan Revolution that sent Ukrainian President Viktor Yanukovych fleeing last year, the senator said: “We are in solidarity with Ukraine in terms of rebuilding this nation and protecting it from the invasion of the Russians. The spirit of Maidan lives on in terms of reform and change, which was the message of Maidan.”

President Petro Poroshenko and Prime Minister Arseniy Yatsenyuk are received “warmly” in Washington, D.C., while skepticism against the nation’s leaders is growing at home. Durbin said that the leaders have made “real progress” in such areas as energy and reforms.

But corruption in Ukraine is an impediment to better U.S.-Ukraine relations.

“The jury is still out, the questions are still being asked,about real reform when it comes to corruption,” Durbin said. “The people of Ukraine are still looking for modernization and reform when it comes to this issue.”

Warren (Democrat of Massachusetts) said legal reform in Ukraine is essential.

“With weak rule of law, with a system rife with corruption, with a judiciary that is not independent and reliable, it is very difficult to build an economy going forward,” Warren said. A former law professor at Harvard Law School, Warren said that reducing corruption should be a priority in Ukraine.

“The support for this government from within the country and from without depends on real progress toward rooting out corruption,” Warren said. “Many countries around the world had to deal with the issue of corruption and it’s time for a best practices approach here,” Warren said. “It is time to try all measures, as vigorously as possible. And that is for two reasons: one is because some of them won’t be effective, the second is because the government must demonstrate in a very public way that it is committed to rooting out corruption no matter how painful, no matter how difficult.”

Warren said that, while reform is hard, “I also recognize from my time here that the people of Ukraine want reform, that the economy requires reform and that the U.S.A. will stand strong with those who fight for reform.

Durbin, whose state of Illinois has had many public officials who went to prison because of corruption, said that prosecution of lawbreaking politicians is essential.

“In the state of Illinois we have had our share of public corruption,” Durbin said. “We have responded to it by indicting, prosecuting and incarcerating those responsible.”

The U.S. will stand behind Ukraine as long as the dedication to fight corruption is “very clear,” the Illinois senator said.

Shaheen (Democrat of New Hampshire) said that Ukrainians must stop tolerating corruption.

“It’s about how members of the public deal with corruption,” Shaheen said. “Corruption exists everywhere, but if we refuse to tolerate it, then it’s going to be hard to continue to exist.”

Warren said that bringing rule of law will instill confidence in Ukraine’s government.

“Do not give up, this is a very hard fight,” Warren said. “If it were an easy fight, we would have already won…ultimately you will make the government work for you and not the reverse.”

Corruption in Ukraine

Progressive Alternatives to Whining

Andres Velasco writes:  Latin America has a new export: populist backlash. It first landed on the warm and receptive shores of the Mediterranean, nurturing support for Greece’s Syriza and Spain’s Podemos. Now it has reached the United Kingdom.

Corbynismo, the ideology of the long-marginalized British MP Jeremy Corbyn – who admired Venezuela’s late president, Hugo Chávez, thinks Vladimir Putin was justified in invading Ukraine, and now heads Britain’s venerable Labour Party – sounds familiar to anyone acquainted with Latin America.

Of course, this new populism (Hillary Clinton’s Democratic rival Bernie Sanders is also a card-carrying member) has much fodder. But being mad is not the same as being right. The new European populists are parlaying legitimate frustration into a misguided set of policies that can only produce more of the same. Latin Americans learned this the hard way in decades past. Europeans (and perhaps Americans) may be about to as well.

Three conceptual confusions cause Corbynismo to get crucial matters completely wrong.

The market for potatoes is not like the market for loans. Yes, bankers are greedy. And, yes, financial markets require close supervision and regulation. But what is true of financial markets need not be true of other markets.

Financial markets are not disciplined by the threat of bankruptcy. When banks get into trouble, governments always save them or wish they had (think Lehman Brothers). Regulation needs to provide the discipline that markets cannot.

But followers of Corbynismo are wrong to infer that the ills of financial markets infect all other markets, all the time. Countries, whether rich or poor, do not need a Potato Supervisory Board with new and enhanced regulatory powers.

It is great to be Keynesian – but during both halves of the cycle. Yes, orthodox economists of (mostly) Teutonic origin peddle a lethal fiscal-policy prescription. When the economy is booming, they claim, expenditure must be cut.. When the economy is tanking, expenditure also has to be cut in order to restore confidence and revive investment. For some European economies, this prescription has caused a needlessly long recession.

The way to render an aggressively counter-cyclical fiscal policy feasible is by relying on modern budget rules.

We did this in Chile during the copper price boom of 2006-2008, running budget surpluses of up to eight percentage points of GDP. When Wall Street melted down, we had the fiscal room to apply one of the most aggressive anti-crisis plans anywhere.

There is nothing inevitable or God-given about suffering, injustice, and inequality. That is why modern social democrats and progressive liberals are eager to right social wrongs. But effectiveness requires agnosticism about the policies required to achieve lofty ends.

Consider health care. Different things work differently in different places. Britain has a single payer and a single service provider: the National Health Service. Canada has a single public payer but mostly private providers. Obamacare establishes a public mandate to buy private insurance (with public subsidies for the poor) to finance services provided by (mostly) private hospitals and clinics.

Alternatives

Mining CEO on Trial for 29 Deaths in US

Rarely is a US CEO held accountable for the activities of the company he leads. Donald Leon Blankenship, former CEO of the now defunct Massy Energy Company is on trial for the death of 29 miners in the explosion at the company’s Upper Big Branch deep mine in Montcoal, West Virginia on April 5, 2010. Three invstigators have concluded that his methods contributed to the  explosion . This is the first time in 150 years of Appalachian mining that a top boss of a coal firm has ever had to answer for how he ran his company.

Mining Deaths

Entrepreneur Alert: Space Internet

The race for Internet service from space is on, again.

After a series of failed satellite Internet projects over the past two decades, fresh investment is coming into the sector, and at least three high-profile projects are moving forward.

OneWeb, a London-based consortium backed by tycoon Richard Branson, announced in June it had raised $500 million from investors including Airbus, Qualcomm and Intelsat to advance its plan for satellite broadband to underserved parts of the world.

Also this year, U.S.-based space exploration firm SpaceX secured a $1 billion investment that could help founder Elon Musk’s plan to build a satellite Internet network, with backing from Google and the financial firm Fidelity.

U.S.-based LeoSat, backed by Europe’s Thales Alenia Space, is also working on a satellite broadband project aimed at business. And Samsung outlined plans in a research report this year “to make affordable Internet services available to everyone in the world via low-cost micro-satellites.”

The projects seek to launch hundreds of low-orbit satellites to beam the Internet from space. The initial costs could be high, but would avoid the expense of building ground-based systems for wired or wireless broadband.

If the plans sounds familiar, we’ve seen this before.

Teledesic, a 1990s project backed by Microsoft’s Bill Gates and Saudi royal family investors, died before it went into service, as did another venture called SkyBridge, whose assets were eventually acquired by OneWeb.

Greg Wyler, chief executive of OneWeb, said much has changed since Teledesic abandoned its “Internet in the sky” plan more than a decade ago: the cost of satellite technology has come down, and most people now realize that connectivity is needed to spur economic development.

“If your goal is to end extreme poverty, boost the things that contribute to economic growth like health care and education, all of those things sit on a foundation of connectivity,” Wyler said.

OneWeb plans to begin launching its 648 low-orbit satellites in 2017, and begin connecting customers by 2019, Wyler said.

The company has “contractual arrangements” to operate in more than 50 markets and is looking at a broad global footprint.

“More than half the world is not connected,” he said.

In some developed markets like the United States, individuals who live in remote areas could subscribe to Internet broadband. In developing countries, it may be schools, health care centers and other government entities.

“Our technology fundamentally reduces the cost of connectivity,” he said.

An equally ambitious plan is being developed by Musk and SpaceX, which could launch as many as 4,000 satellites.

Musk said on Twitter that he sees “advanced micro-satellites operating in large formations” that would provide “unfettered (Internet access) certainly and at very low cost.”

Details of the SpaceX plan are still sketchy, but the company filed plans with the U.S. Federal Communications Commission to begin testing. Eventually, FCC approval could allow the SpaceX project to offer broadband services globally.

LeoSat’s plan calls for between 78 and 108 satellites for a broadband network aimed at high-volume business customers such as major corporations, governments, maritime operators and the oil and gas industry, said Chief Executive Mark Rigolle.

While LeoSat, a startup created in 2013, is aiming at only a few thousand customers, it can also serve as a “backbone” for other operators, which would mean millions could use its connections.

“We want to become ‘fiber from the sky’ from anywhere to anywhere,” Rigolle said.

“It’s not a product that is available in today’s market.”

The company was created by former oil and gas industry executives who understood the need for better connections in remote parts of the world, Rigolle said.

These low-earth orbit systems require more satellites but can cover areas not served by the higher-orbit systems, with better connectivity because of faster transmission speeds.

Rigolle said LeoSat will be able to transmit around the globe “from satellite to satellite without ever touching the ground,” create a system which is “effectively faster than fiber” and more secure.

Scott Pace, director of the Space Policy Institute at George Washington University, said now may be an opportune time to launch a space broadband service because of advances in technology and growing needs for connectivity.

“Space has a lot of natural advantages” over terrestrial systems, he said.

“Space systems provide a way to cover massive amounts of territory very quickly, and the new satellites are increasingly sophisticated.”

Because growing numbers of people around the world rely on wireless broadband, Pace said that “demand is more intense than in the 1990s and satellite systems have a chance of meeting that demand and being a player.”

Still, he said it is not clear if satellite systems can compete effectively with ground-based systems. And he said that any new entrant will still have to compete for airwave spectrum and deal with regulators in various countries.

With a number of satellite firms competing, it is not clear if all will survive.

Space Internet

Japan Has No Room at the Inn for Refugees

Responding to the Syrian refugee crisis worldwide.  Abe of Japan writes a check.

Nancy Snow writes: Last year, 5,000 people applied for refugee status in Japan. 11 were accepted.

Japan is a strong target for refugee criticism because of its modest engagement in social media and global communications. Typically, it doesn’t proactively make its case to the world, largely allowing the international press and the Twitterverse to frame its issues for it.

The Washington Post article, comparing the refugee response of Europe with Japan’s closed doors, quotes heavily from Twitter messages that argue for opening the doors to refugees in Japan.

Accepting refugees to Japan is not unprecedented, just very limited. Between 1978 and 2005, Japan accepted over 11,000 Indo-Chinese refugees fleeing the Vietnam conflict. Japan was the first Asian country in 2010 to participate in the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees’ resettlement program, a pilot program to bring 90 Myanmar refugees from Thailand over the course of three years.

Where Japan shines is in providing assistance as a leading humanitarian nation. It is a top official development assistance (ODA) country, just below the United States, United Kingdom and Germany. International aid ostensibly greatly improves the lives of refugees. But because Japan is not a top host nation for refugees, it is vulnerable to critical global media stories singling it out as a rich country that takes in the least refugees. In contrast, Germany is celebrated for opening arms wide to take in up to half a million refugees. Germany may be facing incredible burdens from this population infusion, but its liberal refugee policy blowback may take years.

Germany was the Cinderella of the refugee crisis and Japan the Evil Stepmother before Abe’s address to the United Nations on Sept. 29. Abe announced a tripling of the budget from last year to $810 million in assistance to refugees and internally displaced people in Syria and Iraq.

The refugee criticism of Japan risked threatening an image that Japanese leaders have attempted to cultivate in developing nation brand Japan as a compassionate leader in the world. One of Japan’s most honored citizens, Madame Sadako Ogata, high commissioner of the U.N.’s refugee agency for a decade (1991-2000), remains one of the country’s most honored citizens. At age 88, she remains president of the Japan International Cooperation Agency, a Tokyo-based developmental organization that works to alleviate poverty, as one mission.

The focus on Syria may also carry with it a bitter memory for many Japanese. This past January, Abe announced a $100 million donation to help the countries of the Middle East fighting Islamic State inside their borders. Within a few days, Muslim militants with IS beheaded Kenji Goto, a journalist, and Haruna Yukawa, the Japanese hostage that Goto had gone to Syria to attempt to rescue.

Abe’s tripling of humanitarian assistance for refugees and internally displaced people in the Middle East is notable.

Abe Writes Check