China Backing Small Cultural Companies

China is to lend more support to micro and small cultural companies in financing, taxation and personnel management.  “High costs and financing remain obstacles for small companies, and our guideline encourages banks and other finance institutes to be more generous when granting them loans,” said Liu Yuzhu, assistant minister of culture.

The guideline, jointly released by the ministries of culture, finance, industry and information technology, targets cultural groups with less than 100 staff. Such companies comprise over 80 percent of all cultural enterprises in China.
The document encourages companies to convert disused factories or warehouses into their working bases and organize and participate in public cultural activities.
The ministry is planning a regulation for government departments to purchase cultural products and services from a widened range of companies and organizations to give more commercial opportunities for small companies.

The ministry is exploring a professional title system that will increase salaries and benefits for those working in non-public cultural companies in accordance with their experience and achievements, and thus, enable these groups to attract more talent.
“Micro and small cultural groups enrich our culture, boost creativity and prosperity and increase employment opportunities. They are of crucial importance to social harmony, economic transformation and upgrades,” said Cai Wu, minister of the Ministry of Culture.

With low employment barriers and more artistic freedom, small companies are more astute in understanding people’s spiritual demands, Cai said.  The guideline, echoing a decision by the Communist Party of China last year, offers suggestions on innovation, finance and tax.   “The guideline is only a starting point. Whether these companies can really succeed lies in enforcement of regulations,” Cai added.

Cultural Companies in China

US Infrastructure Spending

 

Economists at the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco look at the impact of intrastructure repair on the economy:  Highway spending in the United States between 2008 and 2011 was flat, despite the serious need for improvements and the big boost to state highway funds from the Recovery Act of 2009. A comparison of how much different states received and spent shows that these federal grants actually boosted highway spending substantially. However, this was offset by pressures to reduce state highway spending due to plummeting tax revenues. In fact, analysis suggests national highway spending would have fallen roughly 20% over this period without federal highway grants from the Recovery Act.  Fueling Road Spending with Federal Stimulus

Infrastructure Repair

 

Janet Yellen Begins to Address Employment and Global Instability

 

Janet Yellen delivered her first keynote address at the annual conference of central bankers in Jackson Hole, Wyoming.

This year’s gathering is focused on “Re-Evaluating Labor Market Dynamics.”  She described the difficulties confronting an assessment of today’s labor market, including the challenges facing an evaluation of the remaining slack in employment. This takes in factors such as the labor participation rate, wage dynamics, involuntary part-time employment and the extent to which the decline in the unemployment rate “somewhat overstates the improvement in overall labor market conditions.”

In linking this analytical discussion to the prospects for monetary policy, she reinforced two messages delivered at Wednesday’s Federal Open Market Committee: A less dovish tilt in the general thinking of Fed officials amid a recovery in the labor market, and significant differences in officials’ thinking when it comes to the details of when and how high to raise interest rates.

Yellen shied away from another issue that is attracting growing attention among economists — namely, the costs and risks of whether “there is likely to be a price paid in terms of financial stability,” as economist Larry Summers recently put it.

Finally, Yellen was silent on the issue of how to navigate the intensifying multispeed policy world of central banking in developed countries. Her main dilemma now is how quickly to ease off the monetary-policy accelerator. This is a stark contrast to the challenge facing European Central Bank President Mario Draghi. He is dealing with the question of when and how to step harder on the accelerator.

With other types of economic stimulus undermined by political polarization and dysfunction, the challenge for central bankers is managing the widening difference in monetary policy and market interest rates (just look at the gap between the 10-year U.S. Treasury note and the comparable-maturity German bund). Much of the burden might be borne by the foreign-exchange markets, potentially restoring an element of volatility that has been contained by central banks. This only adds to concerns about the impact of financial instability on the global economy down the road.

Janet Yellen at Jackson Hole

 

Argentina’s Default Spawns Creative Thinking

Matt Levine writes:  The phrase “contempt of court” is a little funny. Normally it just means that, if a judge tells you to do something and you don’t do it, the judge can throw you in jail for contempt. If you are Argentina, on the other hand, and you don’t do what New York federal Judge Thomas Griesa tells you to do, he can’t throw you in jail, because you’re way over there in Argentina, and also a country. So it doesn’t do him much good to find you in “contempt of court,” even if you’ve expressed your actual contempt for the court in the form of personal attacks on him in advertisements and press releases and speeches. What to do?  Argentina’s default

Follow the Money

Gap in Math and Science between Men and Women

The question of “Who is Minding the Gap?” is particularly timely and relevant to our national science, technology, engineering, and mathematics (STEM) higher education reform efforts because the retention and persistence of an ever increasing number of women in STEM at the baccalaureate level is heavily dependent upon the number of women faculty represented at all professorial levels in STEM fields. Recent literature supports this notion and suggests that a critical mass of women faculty in postsecondary STEM education is necessary to adequately support the needs of women undergraduate students. In fact, Bettinger and Long (2005) have shown that one of the greatest influences on and determinants of success in STEM disciplines for women students is access to same-gender role models. Additionally, O’Neill (2002) reports that same-gender and same-race mentoring often involves stronger psychosocial support that may yield better career outcomes.   Who is Minding the Gap

Math?

US Attractive to Investors

Norton A. Schwartz and John K. Hurley write: The recent creation of a new international development bank by Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa – the so-called BRICS – is just the latest challenge to America’s global leadership. But, from an international business perspective, the United States remains in a strong position.

Perhaps the best indication of America’s enduring stature is the dollar’s dominance in international financial transactions. Last year’s Foreign Direct Investment Confidence Index based on a survey of more than 300 executives from 28 countries, showed that, for the first time since the Iraq War began in 2003, foreign investors view the US as the world’s most attractive destination for future investment.

The ability to project power internationally begins at home. And, despite its historically slow economic recovery, there is plenty of reason for optimism in the US. Business in US is Strong 

Uncle Sam Flexes his Muscles

Fighting Corruption in China

Chinese President Xi Jinping’s anti-corruption campaign is the broadest and deepest effort to purge, reorganize and rectify the Communist Party leadership since the death of Mao Zedong in 1976 and the rise of Deng Xiaoping two years later. It has already probed more than 182,000 officials across numerous regions and at all levels of government. It has ensnared low-level cadres, mid-level functionaries and chiefs of major state-owned enterprises and ministries. It has deposed top military officials and even a former member of the hitherto immune Politburo Standing Committee, China’s highest governing body. More than a year after its formal commencement and more than two years since its unofficial start with the downfall of Chongping Party Secretary Bo Xlia, the campaign shows no sign of relenting.  Fighting Corruption in China

Fighting Corruption in CHina

US and Africa Business Forum in Washington DC

The US-Africa Business Forum brings together business executives and heads of state.  The event — part of the three-day U.S.-Africa Leaders Summit and co-sponsored by the Department of Commerce and Bloomberg Philanthropies — is the first such gathering.

There is reason to be optimistic that Africa may be at a turning point, given that seven of the 10 fastest-growing economies in the world are on the continent.  “This is not charity; this is self-interest” is how President Barack Obama described the new approach. In other words, growth in Africa can generate growth in the U.S.

The candor is refreshing. As the participants assemble, though, they should be mindful of the history of self-interested business dealings in Africa. While that history may be lost to Americans, Africans have a longer memory, and some sensitivity to past relationships may pay significant dividends for American business leaders operating now.

America has long traded with Africa. That’s the good news. The bad news is that for almost two centuries, the commercial connection was largely defined by the slave trade and the commerce it directly and indirectly generated, such as the shipment of sugar and the distillation of rum. Many merchants in New England built vast fortunes by shipping slaves to the New World until the cessation of the trade in 1808, accumulating enough capital to jump-start the U.S.’s industrial revolution.

After the end of the international slave trade, the era of “legitimate” exchanges with Africa commenced, as U.S. merchants, taking advantage of conflicts between European powers, managed to trade with west African countries, exchanging rum, tobacco, brandy and, eventually, manufactured goods in exchange for ivory, dyewood, gold dust and other natural resources.

The U.S.’s efforts to open markets in Africa were stymied in the second half of the 19th century. The problem lay with the European’s imperial conquest of the continent, which culminated in the Berlin conference of 1884-1885, when Europe’s powers effectively divided up the region, inaugurating a brutal period of exploitation that found fictional expression in Joseph Conrad’s “Heart of Darkness.”

Although the U.S. may have wanted a piece of the action and did what it could to profit from the mad scramble for African resources, it found itself shut out of trade with most of the new colonies, thanks to imperial trade protections. The Americans protested, with the U.S. Chamber of Commerce insisting in 1884 that places such as the Belgian Congo should remain “free from the interference or political control of any one nation.” But such entreaties generally fell on deaf ears, and American commerce in Africa dwindled.

By the early 20th century, the U.S. had managed to get a foothold in places such as South Africa, but in general, its trade paled compared with that of Britain. Moreover, it was lopsided. Americans, in other words, didn’t actually buy a whole lot from Africa. The continent was instead viewed simply as a dumping ground for U.S. products. In 1901, for instance, goods from Africa constituted a mere 1.2 percent of total U.S. imports. That figure barely budged in the succeeding years.

And actual direct investment in Africa was negligible, with the exception of Firestone’s investment in rubber plants in Liberia before the outbreak of World War II. Africa, when it appeared on the radar of U.S. businessmen, was a place to sell, not a place to make long-term investments. That job fell to imperial powers such as Britain, which had little interest in, say, setting up a competing manufacturing power in a colony.

The outbreak of World War II triggered a temporary spike in imports from Africa but little direct investment, a problem that would continue to loom large in the postwar era. South Africa’s finance minister complained in 1949 that “while American business has always been keenly interested in South Africa as a market, it has with a few notable exceptions neglected South Africa as a field of investment.”

Elswhere, the situation was worse. Investors steered clear of African nations for fear of losing assets to civil wars, nationalization campaigns and other perils that dominated the headlines in the 1950s and 1960s. (It didn’t help matters that the U.S. and the Soviet Union fought a series of proxy wars on the continent, further undermining investor confidence.)

In 1969, the book value of American direct investments in Africa was a paltry $2 billion. This was a drop in the bucket: The total book value of U.S. foreign direct investment at the time was $65 billion.

Trade imbalances remained a vexing problem throughout the postwar era. In 1979, Leopold Sedar Senghor, president of Senegal, called upon the Organization of Africa Unity to deal with the “scourges” afflicting Africa, in which “trade imbalances” ranked on par with apartheid, racial discrimination and “mercenarism.”

Business leaders now turning their eyes to Africa need to be mindful of precedent, particularly the tendency to view Africa only in terms of exploitation, not investment. Appeals to self-interest are appropriate in discussing business opportunities, but the attendees at this week’s conference should ensure that both sides’ “self-interest” gets equal representation going forward.

Doing Business in Africa

 

China Recovery Beats Expectations

China had suffered a worrisome slowdown in the first quarter with many macro indicators weaker than market consensus forecasts, posing a significant threat to the government’s commitment to achieving “around 7.5 percent” growth target in 2014.
In response, China introduced a series of growth-supportive measures. The Chinese leadership has been intensifying the anti-corruption campaign this year indicating more strongly than ever, they desire a stable economic and financial backdrop.

Latest macro indicators suggest that these measures have been instrumental in helping China’s economy recover more quickly than expected.  Many experts believe the cumulative impact of monetary easing efforts, through targeted liquidity provision, and growth-supportive measures will continue to help bolster the Chinese economy for the rest of this year.

Chinese equities made notable progress in July, with the benchmark Shanghai Composite Index advancing 7.48 percent last month. It marked the best month for China’s equity markets since December 2012.  HSBC and Bank of America Merrill Lynch upgraded their forecasts for China’s year-on-year gross domestic product growth in 2014. HSBC raised its forecast to 7.5 percent from 7.4 percent, while the latter lifted its prediction to 7.4 percent from 7.2 percent.

Confidence is being restored, but the world’s second largest economy is still faced with significant pressure and risks.  Among them, the property sector drew the most attention. In the second quarter, new sales and property investment in China slid, with the former contracting further and the latter’s growth sinking to a 20-month low.
Another concern is local governments’ rising debts and possibly inadequate fiscal capabilities as the central government asked them to support growth-supportive measures.

Chinese Growth

US Women Lag Behind European Women in Tech Industry

SIlicon Valley Bank’s report indicates US problems. Innovation Economy Outlook survey is out, and this year, SVB decided to focus on one topic in particular, in addition to conducting its general survey. “We asked,” reads the group’s report, “1,200 tech executives in innovation hubs around the world about the representation of women in leadership positions at their companies.”

SVB’s findings are in accord with most estimates: Less than 50% of technology companies have women in the C-suite or serving on the board of directors.

Only one region in the US broke 50%, the southeast. The national percentage of tech companies with women in leadership roles is 45%.  Europe is at 50%, Asia is at 56%, and “other innovation centers” reached 58%.

These percentages may well be splitting hairs, though. Companies were only asked if they had any women in the C-suite or serving on the board, and so whether a company had only one woman who served on the board, or was a start-up had 90% female employees, the two scenarios (and anything in between) counted the same way. If 50% of companies in Europe have women in power, it doesn’t necessarily mean that those companies are more empowering or more diversity friendly than companies in the US.

What European companies do have going for them, though, said SVB Chief Information Officer Beth Devin, is generally greater acceptance of parents needing flexible schedules in order to meet family responsibilities. Men and women are both granted this understanding, and adopting a similar attitude here could affect US companies where women are hired straight out of college into entry-level positions, but then cannot rise within the company past a certain point if they choose to become mothers and primary caregivers for their children.

Putting aside our technological behemoths, the US has problematic industries. As SVB’s survey demonstrates, within the greater context of technology companies, not all specializations hire women equally. Healthcare, it should come as no surprise, lead the pack with 56% of related companies having at least one woman in an executive or board-level position. Of course, healthcare has had strong female representation for as long as people have had midwives. Following healthcare’s statistic were software-related companies at 44%, hardware at 36%, and cleantech at 35%.

A breakdown also occurs when companies are parsed by size. “Larger companies are more likely to have women at the helm,” reads the survey, which goes on to show that regardless of whether the perspective is global, or focused on the US, the UK, or other innovation centers generally, when start-ups are in the pre-revenue stage, they tend to put fewer women into executive positions. Larger companies with revenues promote more women, but globally, the percentage that do so is still only 49%, and in the US, it’s 44%.

Breaking down these statistics further, it seems that most companies are basically all or nothing when it comes to promoting women. Though 26% of survey respondents reported having women on the board of directors, and 37% have women in the C-suite, the number of companies with neither is made particularly clear when the total percentage of companies with one or the other falls so short at 46%. This means that almost 20 percentage points are accounted for by overlap – companies that have women in both kinds of executive positions – and 54% don’t have women in either kind of executive position. Over 70% of respondents are likely on the more extreme ends of the spectrum.

All Male Conference in SIlicon Valley